Thông tin từ TS. Vũ Quang Việt:
IT ảnh hưởng tới năng suất lao động ở Mỹ chấm dứt khoảng 2003-2004. IT hiện nay chỉ giúp phát triển hoạt động giải trí. Bài viết về nghiên cứu của John Fernand và Robert Gordon.
Updated Jan. 5, 2017 6:03 a.m. ET
Mr. Fernald joins a bevy of economists aiming to understand slowing growth. A different school of thought believes much of the productivity slowdown can be traced to the severity of the Great Recession.
Mr. Fernald says he is less dogmatic in his vision than some of his peers. For example, the New Jersey native says he is more “agnostic” on the future of productivity growth than Northwestern University’s Robert Gordon. Mr. Gordon has argued that the rapid U.S. economic growth experienced from 1870 to 1970 is a bygone era, when groundbreaking innovations such as electricity, the interstate highway system or indoor plumbing dramatically boosted efficiencies.
Mr. Gordon says he has “good reasons for my position that productivity growth will remain relatively slow,” in the range of 1% a year compared with 3% a year in previous eras. He believes technological innovation will have a more evolutionary, rather than revolutionary, impact on growth over the next two decades.